Tennesee Tech
Last week, Iowa picked up arguably its biggest commit for 2010 as tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz came to Iowa City as an Illini and left a Hawkeye. Fiedorowicz liked Iowa's use of its tight ends in the offense and the atmosphere of Kinnick Stadium. I'm sure it didn't hurt that Iowa is 10-2 and likely headed to a BCS bowl while Illinois has a whopping 3 wins and will be home for the holidays.
Fiedorowicz is the 20th player to verbally commit to the Hawkeyes and the 2nd from the state of Illinois (which has been a hotbed for Iowa...if I counted right, 17 on the current roster are from Illinois). He is rated 4-stars by both Scout and Rivals.
High School:
C.J. attended Johnsburg High School in Johnsburg, Illinois. The Skyhawks recently wrapped up an 8-4 season with a 10-28 loss in the quarterfinals of the Class 4A Illinois playoffs. Fiedorowicz led the way all season on both offense and defense. He primarily lined up as a receiver in high school, though is being recruited as a tight end. This season he caught 44 passes for 921 yards and 15 touchdowns. He also had 49 receptions for 809 yards and 11 touchdowns as a junior.
Fiedorowicz is also a good basketball player (kind of like another TE that Iowa is enjoying right now). Johnsburg is currently sitting 3-0 and Fiedorowicz is currently coming off a 10 point, 9 rebound effort.
Quick Thoughts:
This guy is a real threat in the red zone. He caught 26 TD passes in just 21 games in the past 2 years. He is very tall at 6'7'', has great hands, and knows how to go up and catch a ball. You can watch him make some big plays in a game from week 3 on YouTube (you've probably seen this video if you read other stories on the kid). He could be a huge mismatch if covered by a short safety or a slower linebacker. Obviously, lining up primarily as a receiver in high school, he doesn't have the experience blocking that a Kirk Ferentz tight end needs. So that is one thing he will need to work on hard if he wants to see significant playing time next year. If not, he may be used just in obvious passing situations.
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Iowa jumps up to #9 in the BCS standings this week with losses by both Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech. The good news is that when everyone is watching the conference championship games and de facto championship games this weekend and the top 10 graphic pops up on the TV screen, Iowa's name will be there for everyone to see.
The other good news, is that for now, Penn State sits outside of the top 10. Hopefully the Fiesta Bowl folks are watching and get a reminder than Iowa is a better choice.
The other good news, is that for now, Penn State sits outside of the top 10. Hopefully the Fiesta Bowl folks are watching and get a reminder than Iowa is a better choice.
It's not quite time to bust out the Tostitos yet, but this weekend was very good for Iowa's chance to get selected to a BCS bowl. Two teams ahead of the Hawkeyes in the BCS standings and the biggest road block fell, paving the way for a top 10 finish and a probable Fiesta Bowl birth.
The most important game was Oklahoma State's loss to rival Oklahoma. The Cowboys were a likely pick for the Fiesta Bowl which has an allegiance with the Big 12 conference. However, with the 0-27 loss, OSU falls to 9-3 and will likely be out of the top 14 come Sunday.
Also helping was Pittsburgh's loss to West Virgina Friday night and Georgia Tech's loss to Georgia. That all but eliminates the chance that either team would get an at large birth if they lose next week (Pitt against Cincinnati and Tech against Clemson). Of course if they win, they get automatic bids...but won't be taking a spot in the Fiesta Bowl.
Lastly, Texas won again staying in the national title game picture. That means the Fiesta Bowl will still have a replacement pick barring an absolutely terrible collapse by Texas against Nebraska next week.
There's still one more week of games (really 2 if you want to count Army vs. Navy), so there's still a slight chance something crazy could happen, but Iowa's chances are looking pretty good. It looks like the Fiesta Bowl will be picking a team from the Big Ten...and it better be Iowa.
The most important game was Oklahoma State's loss to rival Oklahoma. The Cowboys were a likely pick for the Fiesta Bowl which has an allegiance with the Big 12 conference. However, with the 0-27 loss, OSU falls to 9-3 and will likely be out of the top 14 come Sunday.
Also helping was Pittsburgh's loss to West Virgina Friday night and Georgia Tech's loss to Georgia. That all but eliminates the chance that either team would get an at large birth if they lose next week (Pitt against Cincinnati and Tech against Clemson). Of course if they win, they get automatic bids...but won't be taking a spot in the Fiesta Bowl.
Lastly, Texas won again staying in the national title game picture. That means the Fiesta Bowl will still have a replacement pick barring an absolutely terrible collapse by Texas against Nebraska next week.
There's still one more week of games (really 2 if you want to count Army vs. Navy), so there's still a slight chance something crazy could happen, but Iowa's chances are looking pretty good. It looks like the Fiesta Bowl will be picking a team from the Big Ten...and it better be Iowa.
Happy Thanksgiving Hawkeye fans. I'm spending some time with the family so probably won't have many posts the next couple of days. But I did want to say, look for more information on the latest Iowa commit, #1 ranked tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz who decommitted from Illinois and picked the Hawks after seeing Moeaki play almost every down against Minnesota.
More news:
More news:
- Earlier in the week Ferentz was award the Big Ten Coach of the Year award.
- Three Hawkeye commits won Iowa state titles in their respective classes, so look for a recruit roundup one of these days.
- Iowa is #11 in the BCS so is in good position to get an at large bid especially if Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State.
- Maybe it's best that this blog focuses on football (basketball may not be worth even mentioning this year).
Now that the regular season is over, it's time to start reflecting. Really I started reflecting on Sunday, but I took a few days off (it's a holiday week!) and now I finally got this post written. It's hard not to think what could have been if Stanzi hadn't gotten injured...or Hampton, or Robinson, or Richardson, and so on. It is actually quite remarkable that this team got to 10 wins despite all the injuries to key players. The silver lining to all these injuries is that young players and backups gained a considerable amount of valuable experience.
Rilo Kiley knows a thing or two about silver lining.
Out: Rick Stanzi, In: James Vandenberg
Nobody was thrown into a more difficult situation this year than Vandenberg. Every game he played in (besides garbage time against ISU) had a BCS game on the line and the weight on his shoulders. I can't think of a tougher environment to make your first career start than on the road in Ohio Stadium with the Rose Bowl on the line. Vandenberg did very well considering the circumstances. He finished the season going 42 of 87 for 470 yards with 2 TDs and 5 interception. Not great numbers, but the experience will certainly help when Vandenberg has a shot at being the full time starter after Stanzi graduates (of course a lot could happen before that).
Out: Jewel Hampton, In: Adam Robinson and Brandon Wegher
Hampton's injury before the season even started opened the door for 2 freshmen. Robinson and Wegher split time most of the year, but both got their shot at being the "premier" back when the other was injured. Before the season started neither was really on the radar, besides some internet fans that were over-hyping Wegher. But now, with all the carries they've had, it's conceivable that they both will see a lot of time the next 3 years. Robinson finished the season with 775 yards on 167 carries and Wegher had 528 yards on 142 carries.
Out: Bryan Bulaga and Dace Richardson, In: Riley Reiff
Perhaps no player stepped up and performed better than Reiff. He played left tackle in Bulaga's absence early in the season. He played so well that he worked his way into a 3-man rotation at guard. Then, when Richardson went down, Reiff earned a permanent spot. He played like a freshman at times, but for the most part exceeded expectation. He will have a spot on the line for 3 more years.
Out: Jordan Bernstine, In: Mycah Hide, Willie Lowe, Greg Castillo
Bernstine's injury coupled with Prater's early 2 game suspension meant the 3 underclassmen saw significant time early in the season. They also were thrown into nickle and dime (yes, they were rare) packages and on special teams. The experience is especially important if Spievey decides to leave for the NFL early.
Out: Jeremiha Hunter, In: Troy Johnson
Troy Johnson had a huge performance in Iowa's shutout of Minnesota. He was second on the team with 11 tackles, had a sack, and recovered a fumble. His effort earned him a Big Ten Co-Defensive Player of the Week Award. Johnson is a likely replacement for Angerer or Edds next season.
Out: Colin Sandeman and Paul Chaney Jr., In: Keenan Davis
It was in the plan to get Davis some reps this year, but he probably saw the field more than Ferentz would have liked. Davis started the year as the 6th or 7th option at receiver, but with the injuries found himself playing in key situation all year. He didn't have many receptions (just 4), but definitely had a chance to get a feel for the offense. He also got a shot at punt returns (until he fumbled) and kickoff returns. With Stross graduating, Davis could easily by the 3rd option next year.
Rilo Kiley knows a thing or two about silver lining.
Out: Rick Stanzi, In: James Vandenberg
Nobody was thrown into a more difficult situation this year than Vandenberg. Every game he played in (besides garbage time against ISU) had a BCS game on the line and the weight on his shoulders. I can't think of a tougher environment to make your first career start than on the road in Ohio Stadium with the Rose Bowl on the line. Vandenberg did very well considering the circumstances. He finished the season going 42 of 87 for 470 yards with 2 TDs and 5 interception. Not great numbers, but the experience will certainly help when Vandenberg has a shot at being the full time starter after Stanzi graduates (of course a lot could happen before that).
Out: Jewel Hampton, In: Adam Robinson and Brandon Wegher
Hampton's injury before the season even started opened the door for 2 freshmen. Robinson and Wegher split time most of the year, but both got their shot at being the "premier" back when the other was injured. Before the season started neither was really on the radar, besides some internet fans that were over-hyping Wegher. But now, with all the carries they've had, it's conceivable that they both will see a lot of time the next 3 years. Robinson finished the season with 775 yards on 167 carries and Wegher had 528 yards on 142 carries.
Out: Bryan Bulaga and Dace Richardson, In: Riley Reiff
Perhaps no player stepped up and performed better than Reiff. He played left tackle in Bulaga's absence early in the season. He played so well that he worked his way into a 3-man rotation at guard. Then, when Richardson went down, Reiff earned a permanent spot. He played like a freshman at times, but for the most part exceeded expectation. He will have a spot on the line for 3 more years.
Out: Jordan Bernstine, In: Mycah Hide, Willie Lowe, Greg Castillo
Bernstine's injury coupled with Prater's early 2 game suspension meant the 3 underclassmen saw significant time early in the season. They also were thrown into nickle and dime (yes, they were rare) packages and on special teams. The experience is especially important if Spievey decides to leave for the NFL early.
Out: Jeremiha Hunter, In: Troy Johnson
Troy Johnson had a huge performance in Iowa's shutout of Minnesota. He was second on the team with 11 tackles, had a sack, and recovered a fumble. His effort earned him a Big Ten Co-Defensive Player of the Week Award. Johnson is a likely replacement for Angerer or Edds next season.
Out: Colin Sandeman and Paul Chaney Jr., In: Keenan Davis
It was in the plan to get Davis some reps this year, but he probably saw the field more than Ferentz would have liked. Davis started the year as the 6th or 7th option at receiver, but with the injuries found himself playing in key situation all year. He didn't have many receptions (just 4), but definitely had a chance to get a feel for the offense. He also got a shot at punt returns (until he fumbled) and kickoff returns. With Stross graduating, Davis could easily by the 3rd option next year.
As the BCS picture sits now it looks more and more likely that the Big Ten will get an at large spot in addition to Ohio State's automatic Rose Bowl bid. There are 2 teams in the Big Ten that will almost certainly meet the top 14 BCS ranking and 9 win requirements for an at large bid: Iowa and Penn State. We will have a couple of weeks to go through all the arguments for both teams, but for now, let me just leave you with this:
Hooray! 10-2! Fiesta? Orange? Who cares...it was a great season. The last couple of weeks were hard to get through, but it's hard to complain about a 10 win season. Kind of like today...it was pretty ugly, but it's hard to complain with a win in a rivalry game.
The defense played great as it has all year long and posted its first shutout of the year and second in a row against the Gophers. The defensive line put a lot of pressure on Weber and the secondary should have picked off at least 3 or 4 of his passes. The Iowa D held Minnesota to 14 of 42 passing for just 158 yards with 0 TDs and 1 INT. That is a QB rating of 59.2 (that's pretty terrible). The defense also kept Minnesota's running game in check giving up only 48 yards on the ground. And the goal line stand was certainly impressive.
The offense...well there's not much to say. Vandenberg struggled for the most part but made a couple of key plays when needed. The run game not got going, though Robinson had a couple of nice carries, on the first drive especially, before he re-injured his ankle. The offense didn't even gain 200 yards. But was able to score a few points on good field position and that was enough. Murray did well on both field goals but that blocked PAT was not pretty.
Players of the Game:
Defense - A.J. Edds and Pat Angerer
The only two seniors starting on the defense had big performance for their Kinnick farewell. Edds had an interception on one of Minnesota's trick plays where they had Weber and Gray on the field at the same time. He also finished with 8 tackles. An gerer was all over the field and had a team high 16 tackles.
Offense - Derrell Johnson-Koulianos
Iowa only completed 11 passes today and 7 of them were to DJK. He did have a drop, but played very well otherwise. He was the only receiver consistently getting open and caught a slant for 15 yards that set up the games only touchdown.
Trophies:
Iowa against retains all 3 rivalry trophies with wins over Iowa State, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. Floyd of Rosedale is by far the coolest trophy of the 3, so it's definitely nice to keep in the trophy case.
The defense played great as it has all year long and posted its first shutout of the year and second in a row against the Gophers. The defensive line put a lot of pressure on Weber and the secondary should have picked off at least 3 or 4 of his passes. The Iowa D held Minnesota to 14 of 42 passing for just 158 yards with 0 TDs and 1 INT. That is a QB rating of 59.2 (that's pretty terrible). The defense also kept Minnesota's running game in check giving up only 48 yards on the ground. And the goal line stand was certainly impressive.
The offense...well there's not much to say. Vandenberg struggled for the most part but made a couple of key plays when needed. The run game not got going, though Robinson had a couple of nice carries, on the first drive especially, before he re-injured his ankle. The offense didn't even gain 200 yards. But was able to score a few points on good field position and that was enough. Murray did well on both field goals but that blocked PAT was not pretty.
Players of the Game:
Defense - A.J. Edds and Pat Angerer
The only two seniors starting on the defense had big performance for their Kinnick farewell. Edds had an interception on one of Minnesota's trick plays where they had Weber and Gray on the field at the same time. He also finished with 8 tackles. An gerer was all over the field and had a team high 16 tackles.
Offense - Derrell Johnson-Koulianos
Iowa only completed 11 passes today and 7 of them were to DJK. He did have a drop, but played very well otherwise. He was the only receiver consistently getting open and caught a slant for 15 yards that set up the games only touchdown.
Trophies:
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Saturday will be the final regular season and home game that 17 seniors will play in a Hawkeye jersey (and likely the last football game for most of them). Of course there is still the bowl game, and Angerer, Moeaki, Edds, and Calloway all have pretty good shots at getting drafted. Many of these seniors come from the highly touted 2005 recruiting class, and though they've previously been thought to be a "bust," now they we can look back at their whole career and I think we can all agree that it has culminated into something pretty special.
The Seniors:
The Seniors:
- Pat Angerer
- Kyle Calloway
- Joe Conklin
- Dan Doering
- A.J. Edds
- Rafael Eubanks
- Chad Geary
- Bryce Griswold
- Taylor Herbst
- Andy Kuempel
- Travis Meade
- Tony Moeaki
- Jayme Murphy
- Dace Richardson
- Chris Rowell
- Kyle Spading
- Trey Stross
- Trey Stross hauls in a "hail mary" from Jake Christensen that is tipped by an Indiana defender for a touchdown as time expires in the first half.
- Dace Richardson starts against Northern Iowa after missing most of the previous 2 years and basically being told his career was over.
- After missing a couple of weeks with an ankle injury, Tony Moeaki makes his return for homecoming against Michigan and has 2 huge TD catches.
- Pat Angerer picks off a pass from Penn State's Clark late in the game. The ensuing return has one of the biggest hits I've ever seen.
It's time again to look at the statistics for the upcoming game. Things are pretty straight forward this week. When Iowa has the ball, it will be a pretty even match up between two mediocre units. But when Minnesota has the ball, Iowa's defense should have the huge upper hand.
Iowa Offense vs. Minnesota Defense
This is pretty close across the board and the story is pretty clear...both teams are not very good. Besides turnovers and 3rd down conversion, Iowa's offense and Minnesota's defense rankings are nearly the same....all ranking in the 70-90 range.
Iowa's running game has not been extremely effective this year, but Wegher and Robinson should both be playing this week (the tandem hasn't been together since Michigan State). Minnesota has given up lots of yards on the ground and Iowa's offensive line should be able to get a good push against the Gopher front 4.
The Gopher front 4 is not very good, and for the first time in a long time (maybe all season) there isn't really an elite defensive lineman that Iowa has to worry about. Minnesota does not get great pressure on the QB, which should mean good things for Vandenberg.
The one thing Iowa has to look out for (and that has doomed them in the losses) is turnovers. Minnesota has been able to stay close in games, despite their poor defense, by creating turnovers and Iowa has been all too cavalier with the ball.
Overall Advantage: Even (Maybe Iowa has a slight edge if the offensive line can play well)
Iowa Defense vs. Minnesota Offense
This is probably the most lopsided match up of the year. Minnesota's offense is just plain bad and Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. It all starts along the line for both teams.
Minnesota's offensive line has been very poor this year. They are unable to create holes in the run game and give up over 3 sacks a game. When he has time, Weber has been okay at quarterback, but does not put up any numbers that would scare Iowa's stout pass defense.
Iowa's defensive line should be able to create all sorts of problems for Minnesota. The wildcat has worked okay against Iowa so I wouldn't be surprised if Gray gets a lot of touches in this game.
Minnesota has been good in the red zone, but it is not likely that they will see much time on Iowa's side of the field. If Minnesota is able to put up more than 10 points I would be very surprised.
Overall Advantage: Iowa by a large margin
Iowa Special Teams vs. Minnesota Special Teams
Both teams do a very good job punting and covering punts. Iowa will need to watch out for the Minnesota punt return...though they've only returned 6 punts all year, they have been big returns.
I thought Murray would be an advantage last week and it turned out the OSU's backup kicker made the game winning field goal while Murray missed a 22-yarder. So this week I going with Minnesota having an advantage in the kicking game. Though I don't think Minnesota will get in field goal range a lot, and I think Iowa will be scoring touchdowns.
Overall Advantage: Minnesota...very slightly
Prediction: Iowa may not do a whole lot on offense this game, but it won't matter. The defense will completely shut down Minnesota to the point that a 24 point effort by the offense may look like a blowout.
Iowa 24 - Minnesota 3
Iowa Offense vs. Minnesota Defense
| Category | Iowa Offense | Minnesota Defense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 114.45 | 98 | 155.09 | 74 | M |
| Passing Yards | 230.82 | 48 | 226.73 | 71 | H |
| Passing Efficiency | 123.44 | 82 | 125.52 | 59 | M |
| Sacks | 2.09 | 68 | 1.45 | 94 | H |
| Total Yards | 345.27 | 87 | 381.82 | 79 | - |
| Scoring | 24.09 | 84 | 25.73 | 70 | M |
| Turnovers | 24 | 107 | 22 | 22 | MMMM |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 40.76 | 52 | 47.34 | 111 | HHH |
| Red Zone % | 84 | 48 | 80 | 44 | - |
This is pretty close across the board and the story is pretty clear...both teams are not very good. Besides turnovers and 3rd down conversion, Iowa's offense and Minnesota's defense rankings are nearly the same....all ranking in the 70-90 range.
Iowa's running game has not been extremely effective this year, but Wegher and Robinson should both be playing this week (the tandem hasn't been together since Michigan State). Minnesota has given up lots of yards on the ground and Iowa's offensive line should be able to get a good push against the Gopher front 4.
The Gopher front 4 is not very good, and for the first time in a long time (maybe all season) there isn't really an elite defensive lineman that Iowa has to worry about. Minnesota does not get great pressure on the QB, which should mean good things for Vandenberg.
The one thing Iowa has to look out for (and that has doomed them in the losses) is turnovers. Minnesota has been able to stay close in games, despite their poor defense, by creating turnovers and Iowa has been all too cavalier with the ball.
Overall Advantage: Even (Maybe Iowa has a slight edge if the offensive line can play well)
Iowa Defense vs. Minnesota Offense
| Category | Iowa Defense | Minnesota Offense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 128.73 | 43 | 102.09 | 107 | HHH |
| Passing Yards | 165.73 | 10 | 202.36 | 78 | HHH |
| Passing Efficiency | 96.02 | 6 | 120.22 | 86 | HHHH |
| Sacks | 2.10 | 52 | 3.09 | 110 | HHH |
| Total Yards | 294.45 | 11 | 304.45 | 112 | HHHHH |
| Scoring | 16.91 | 17 | 23.55 | 88 | HHH |
| Turnovers | 26 | 8 | 24 | 107 | HHHH |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 37.72 | 52 | 37.41 | 75 | H |
| Red Zone % | 88 | 99 | 8 | 26 | MMM |
This is probably the most lopsided match up of the year. Minnesota's offense is just plain bad and Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. It all starts along the line for both teams.
Minnesota's offensive line has been very poor this year. They are unable to create holes in the run game and give up over 3 sacks a game. When he has time, Weber has been okay at quarterback, but does not put up any numbers that would scare Iowa's stout pass defense.
Iowa's defensive line should be able to create all sorts of problems for Minnesota. The wildcat has worked okay against Iowa so I wouldn't be surprised if Gray gets a lot of touches in this game.
Minnesota has been good in the red zone, but it is not likely that they will see much time on Iowa's side of the field. If Minnesota is able to put up more than 10 points I would be very surprised.
Overall Advantage: Iowa by a large margin
Iowa Special Teams vs. Minnesota Special Teams
| Category | Iowa Special Teams | Minnesota Special Teams | Advantage | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | |||
| Kick Returns | 23.11 | 41 | 23.41 | 38 | - | |
| Punt Returns | 7.77 | 79 | 15.67 | 16 | MMM | |
| Net Punting | 38.10 | 18 | 39.26 | 9 | - | |
| Field Goal % | 69.6 | 61 | 78.6 | 36 | MM | |
Both teams do a very good job punting and covering punts. Iowa will need to watch out for the Minnesota punt return...though they've only returned 6 punts all year, they have been big returns.
I thought Murray would be an advantage last week and it turned out the OSU's backup kicker made the game winning field goal while Murray missed a 22-yarder. So this week I going with Minnesota having an advantage in the kicking game. Though I don't think Minnesota will get in field goal range a lot, and I think Iowa will be scoring touchdowns.
Overall Advantage: Minnesota...very slightly
Prediction: Iowa may not do a whole lot on offense this game, but it won't matter. The defense will completely shut down Minnesota to the point that a 24 point effort by the offense may look like a blowout.
Iowa 24 - Minnesota 3
An almost perfect week for Hawkeye commits as their teams go 7-1. The 3 Iowa boys all advance in the playoffs to the state title games in their respective division. Marcus Coker and Mike Hardy will also be playing for championships this week.
Iowa High School Playoffs:
James Morris: Solon 35 – North Fayette 0
North Fayette came into the game with the best rushing attack in the state, averaging over 400 yards per game on the ground. They came out of the game with a lackluster 87 total yards as Solon completely shut them down. Solon, on the other hand, continued its romp through Class 2A and scored all 35 points in the first half. Morris had 208 yards on 12 carries and even threw a 71-yard TD. He added 3 rushing touchdown himself, including 2 of over 80 yards. Solon moves on to face Boyden-Hull/Rock Valley for the 2A championship.
A.J. Derby: City High 21 – CR Xavier 3
City High gave up a lot of yards on the ground, but were able to shut down the passing game and came away with 2 interceptions holding Xavier to only a field goal. Derby had a monster game. He was 12 of 18 passing for 161 yards and a touchdown. He ran in a 16 yard touchdown in the 3rd quarter. And, he intercepted a pass on defense in the endzone that kept Xavier from going ahead when the score was just 7-3. City High will play Marshalltown for the Class 4A Title.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 42 - Carroll 7
After falling behind 7-0 in the first quarter, Harlan started to pound the ball and had great success. Four Cyclones ran the ball for over 40 yards and they had 4 rushing TDs in a semifinal victory over Carroll in the UNI Dome. Hoch was a big contributer with 10 carries for 44 yards and 2 short touchdowns. Harlan will play Pella for the 3A Title.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 35 - Gonzaga 0
DeMatha put in another dominating performance and moved to 11-0 and 1 game away from a WCAC conference championship. Coker led the way with 142 yards on 17 carries. He also had 2 touchdowns. DeMatha will play Good Councel on Saturday for the title.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 42 – Merrill 14
Kimberly came out firing and quickly went ahread 21-0 in the first quarter over Merrill in the semifinals. The game was never close again as the Papermakers sealed a spot in the championship game for the 3rd straight year. Kimberly will play Waunakee on Friday for the Division 2 Championship in Wisconsin.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 0 - Navy JV 5
Milford Academy finished up its season with a loss against the Navy JV team. N'goumou finished the year with just 1 catch for 7 yards.
Carl Davis Stevenson 38 - Detroit Southeastern 32
Stevenson threw for 488 yards in a Division 1 regions finals victory over Detroit Southeastern. They were able to overcome 4 turnovers by continuing to throw it aggressively down the field. The Titans will face Clarkston in the semifinals this Saturday.
Donovan Johnson Martin 50 - Haltom 6
Martin put in a dominating defensive performance in the first round of the 5A Division 1 playoffs in Texas. Haltom only gained 44 yards and gave up more sacks (8) than they gained first downs (just 5). Martin will face off against Odessa Permian on Saturday.
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
Iowa High School Playoffs:
James Morris: Solon 35 – North Fayette 0
North Fayette came into the game with the best rushing attack in the state, averaging over 400 yards per game on the ground. They came out of the game with a lackluster 87 total yards as Solon completely shut them down. Solon, on the other hand, continued its romp through Class 2A and scored all 35 points in the first half. Morris had 208 yards on 12 carries and even threw a 71-yard TD. He added 3 rushing touchdown himself, including 2 of over 80 yards. Solon moves on to face Boyden-Hull/Rock Valley for the 2A championship.
A.J. Derby: City High 21 – CR Xavier 3
City High gave up a lot of yards on the ground, but were able to shut down the passing game and came away with 2 interceptions holding Xavier to only a field goal. Derby had a monster game. He was 12 of 18 passing for 161 yards and a touchdown. He ran in a 16 yard touchdown in the 3rd quarter. And, he intercepted a pass on defense in the endzone that kept Xavier from going ahead when the score was just 7-3. City High will play Marshalltown for the Class 4A Title.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 42 - Carroll 7
After falling behind 7-0 in the first quarter, Harlan started to pound the ball and had great success. Four Cyclones ran the ball for over 40 yards and they had 4 rushing TDs in a semifinal victory over Carroll in the UNI Dome. Hoch was a big contributer with 10 carries for 44 yards and 2 short touchdowns. Harlan will play Pella for the 3A Title.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 35 - Gonzaga 0
DeMatha put in another dominating performance and moved to 11-0 and 1 game away from a WCAC conference championship. Coker led the way with 142 yards on 17 carries. He also had 2 touchdowns. DeMatha will play Good Councel on Saturday for the title.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 42 – Merrill 14
Kimberly came out firing and quickly went ahread 21-0 in the first quarter over Merrill in the semifinals. The game was never close again as the Papermakers sealed a spot in the championship game for the 3rd straight year. Kimberly will play Waunakee on Friday for the Division 2 Championship in Wisconsin.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 0 - Navy JV 5
Milford Academy finished up its season with a loss against the Navy JV team. N'goumou finished the year with just 1 catch for 7 yards.
Carl Davis Stevenson 38 - Detroit Southeastern 32
Stevenson threw for 488 yards in a Division 1 regions finals victory over Detroit Southeastern. They were able to overcome 4 turnovers by continuing to throw it aggressively down the field. The Titans will face Clarkston in the semifinals this Saturday.
Donovan Johnson Martin 50 - Haltom 6
Martin put in a dominating defensive performance in the first round of the 5A Division 1 playoffs in Texas. Haltom only gained 44 yards and gave up more sacks (8) than they gained first downs (just 5). Martin will face off against Odessa Permian on Saturday.
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
Everybody has their different take on the teams that will be in the BCS bowls this year. The picture is definitely becoming more clear each week, and at this point it looks like Iowa's inclusion is a real possibility. So here is my take:
BCS Top 14:
The Pac-10 is still wide open as there are 4 teams (Oregon, Stanford, Oregon State, and Arizona) still with a shot at a championship. It will most likely be Oregon, but whoever it is will be the lone Pac-10 representative in the BCS. The runner up will at best be 9-3, and this year that will not be good enough.
SEC: 2 teams
Florida and Alabama have already locked up their places in the SEC championship game and the winner will get the automatic bid, but the loser will almost certainly be an at large pick. The only scenario I don't see this happening is if Alabama loses to Chattanooga (yeah right...), Auburn, and Florida. LSU could get the 2nd SEC place as long as they win out. So, basically there is no way SEC only gets 1 team.
Big 12: 1 or 2 teams
Unless Texas has a complete meltdown the next two weeks against Kansas and Texas A&M, the Longhorns are in and likely in the title game. There are 2 scenarios that the Big 12 could get a 2nd team in. First, Texas loses in teh B12 title game. The North champ would get the auto bid, and Texas at 12-1 would still be picked. Second, Oklahoma State could win out (including a win at Oklahoma) . At 10-2 the Cowboys might be an attractive pick for the BCS.
ACC: 1 or 2 teams
There is really only 1 worthy team in the ACC and that's Georgia Tech. But with a conference title game there is always the chance of an underdog (in this case, most likely Clemson) getting the automatic spot. So the question would be, if Georgia Tech loses in the ACC title game and finishes 11-2, would they get get an at large spot?
Big East: 1 or 2 teams
Cincinnati is in the driver's seat in the Big East and may still have a shot at the national title (crazier things have happened). The match up against Pittsburgh in 2 weeks will decide the conference champion. If Cincinnati wins, then Pitt could still be 10-2 and would likely be in the top 14. If Pitt wins, Cincinnati will likely be 11-1 and I think would be a very attractive pick for the BCS. And, a team nobody is talking about, Rutgers even has a chance to finish 10-2 if they win out and could work its way into the mix (though I don't think it's likely).
Non-BCS: 1 or 2 teams
TCU and Boise State have both survived their toughest tests and should both finish undefeated and in the top 10. It looks like TCU at this point will be the automatic nod, but Boise State, considering their success in past BCS games, would be an attractive at large choice.
Big Ten: 1 or 2 teams.
Saving the best for last... Ohio State has things locked up, but it's likely that Penn State, Wisconsin, and Iowa will all finished 10-2 and all be in the top 14 in the BCS. If there is a spot open, then who do they take? From a most-deserved perspective, Iowa would be the obvious choice with wins over the other 2. Of course though, that doesn't matter. Penn State, with its huge fan base, could be an option. And even Wisconsin, though less likely, has good traveling fans.
Who is it?
If you're counting, that's 7 spots that are locks and another (the SEC runner-up) that is a virtual lock. So, there are just 2 spots open for Iowa to play in a BCS bowl for just the second time. Here's how I see the pecking order to fall (minus Iowa):
Realistically though, a victory over Minnesota puts Iowa in a great position.
BCS Top 14:
- Florida
- Alabama
- Texas
- TCU
- Cincinnati
- Boise State
- Georgia Tech
- LSU
- Pittsburgh
- Ohio State
- Oregon
- Oklahoma State
- Iowa
- Penn State
The Pac-10 is still wide open as there are 4 teams (Oregon, Stanford, Oregon State, and Arizona) still with a shot at a championship. It will most likely be Oregon, but whoever it is will be the lone Pac-10 representative in the BCS. The runner up will at best be 9-3, and this year that will not be good enough.
SEC: 2 teams
Florida and Alabama have already locked up their places in the SEC championship game and the winner will get the automatic bid, but the loser will almost certainly be an at large pick. The only scenario I don't see this happening is if Alabama loses to Chattanooga (yeah right...), Auburn, and Florida. LSU could get the 2nd SEC place as long as they win out. So, basically there is no way SEC only gets 1 team.
Big 12: 1 or 2 teams
Unless Texas has a complete meltdown the next two weeks against Kansas and Texas A&M, the Longhorns are in and likely in the title game. There are 2 scenarios that the Big 12 could get a 2nd team in. First, Texas loses in teh B12 title game. The North champ would get the auto bid, and Texas at 12-1 would still be picked. Second, Oklahoma State could win out (including a win at Oklahoma) . At 10-2 the Cowboys might be an attractive pick for the BCS.
ACC: 1 or 2 teams
There is really only 1 worthy team in the ACC and that's Georgia Tech. But with a conference title game there is always the chance of an underdog (in this case, most likely Clemson) getting the automatic spot. So the question would be, if Georgia Tech loses in the ACC title game and finishes 11-2, would they get get an at large spot?
Big East: 1 or 2 teams
Cincinnati is in the driver's seat in the Big East and may still have a shot at the national title (crazier things have happened). The match up against Pittsburgh in 2 weeks will decide the conference champion. If Cincinnati wins, then Pitt could still be 10-2 and would likely be in the top 14. If Pitt wins, Cincinnati will likely be 11-1 and I think would be a very attractive pick for the BCS. And, a team nobody is talking about, Rutgers even has a chance to finish 10-2 if they win out and could work its way into the mix (though I don't think it's likely).
Non-BCS: 1 or 2 teams
TCU and Boise State have both survived their toughest tests and should both finish undefeated and in the top 10. It looks like TCU at this point will be the automatic nod, but Boise State, considering their success in past BCS games, would be an attractive at large choice.
Big Ten: 1 or 2 teams.
Saving the best for last... Ohio State has things locked up, but it's likely that Penn State, Wisconsin, and Iowa will all finished 10-2 and all be in the top 14 in the BCS. If there is a spot open, then who do they take? From a most-deserved perspective, Iowa would be the obvious choice with wins over the other 2. Of course though, that doesn't matter. Penn State, with its huge fan base, could be an option. And even Wisconsin, though less likely, has good traveling fans.
Who is it?
If you're counting, that's 7 spots that are locks and another (the SEC runner-up) that is a virtual lock. So, there are just 2 spots open for Iowa to play in a BCS bowl for just the second time. Here's how I see the pecking order to fall (minus Iowa):
- Texas (12-1): lost in B12 title game
- Cincinnati (11-1): lost to Pittsburgh
- Penn State (10-2): win out
- Boise State (12-0): win out
- Oklahoma State (10-2): win out
- Georgia Tech (11-2): lost in ACC title game
- Pittsburgh (10-2): lost to Cincinnati
- Wisconsin (10-2): win out
Realistically though, a victory over Minnesota puts Iowa in a great position.
Iowa hangs onto a spot in the top 14 of the BCS this week coming in at #13. This pretty much ensures the Hawkeyes will be eligible for an at large bid (to likely the Fiesta Bowl) with a win next week against Minnesota at home, as long as the human voters don't jump Iowa by a bunch of 3-loss teams (which I wouldn't put it past the coaches who already placed Penn State and Wisconsin, two teams Iowa beat on the road, ahead of the Hawkeyes).
Here are the top 14:
Here are the top 14:
- Florida
- Alabama
- Texas
- TCU
- Cincinnati
- Boise State
- Georgia Tech
- LSU
- Pittsburgh
- Ohio State
- Oregon
- Oklahoma State
- Iowa
- Penn State
It's happened again. Iowa is sitting behind teams that they beat. Now, if Iowa had a worse record, then that would be understandable. But why you would rank Penn State and Wisconsin!? ahead of Iowa is beyond me.
Let's see...just looking quickly at a couple of key games. Iowa at Penn State: Iowa wins. Iowa at Wisconsin: Iowa wins. Ohio State at Penn State: Ohio State wins BIG. Wisconsin at Ohio State: Ohio State wins BIG. Iowa at Ohio State: Ohio State barely wins in overtime. So, all 4 of these Big Ten teams have 2 losses...and what is the logical order? It's pretty clear to me it should be Ohio State and Iowa first and second respectively, then PSU and Wisconsin.
Iowa comes in a #15 in the AP poll (OSU #9, PSU #13, Wisc #17) and is the same (#15) in Coaches poll (OSU #8, PSU #12, Wisc #14). Iowa is the lowest ranked BSC team with only 2 losses by the coaches. The only rational explanation I can come up with is that they didn't want to move Iowa up with a loss (the Hawks were #15 last week in the AP).
The BCS standings should be out later tonight, so it will be very interesting to see where Iowa falls. They just need to be in the top 14 to be eligible for a BCS at large bid and that seems likely at this point (I think the computers will still like Iowa well enough).
Let's see...just looking quickly at a couple of key games. Iowa at Penn State: Iowa wins. Iowa at Wisconsin: Iowa wins. Ohio State at Penn State: Ohio State wins BIG. Wisconsin at Ohio State: Ohio State wins BIG. Iowa at Ohio State: Ohio State barely wins in overtime. So, all 4 of these Big Ten teams have 2 losses...and what is the logical order? It's pretty clear to me it should be Ohio State and Iowa first and second respectively, then PSU and Wisconsin.
Iowa comes in a #15 in the AP poll (OSU #9, PSU #13, Wisc #17) and is the same (#15) in Coaches poll (OSU #8, PSU #12, Wisc #14). Iowa is the lowest ranked BSC team with only 2 losses by the coaches. The only rational explanation I can come up with is that they didn't want to move Iowa up with a loss (the Hawks were #15 last week in the AP).
The BCS standings should be out later tonight, so it will be very interesting to see where Iowa falls. They just need to be in the top 14 to be eligible for a BCS at large bid and that seems likely at this point (I think the computers will still like Iowa well enough).
This sucks on multiple levels. Not only did the Hawkeyes lose in overtime, but I didn't even get to see it! I had big plans to be watching it on ESPN360 right now, but stupid thing is blacked out! SCREW YOU ESPN360!! Now I have to wait until freakin' Wednesday to watch a replay on TV, which they will probably cut out a lot to fit an OT game into 3 hours. Blargh! Mad.
I just saw the score and haven't read much about it yet, but it sounds like it was an exciting game and that Vandenberg played well. But who knows...not me. So anyway, I'll get back to you after I actually watch the game. (If anyone has a tape that they want to get to me in Ankeny...or a good method to watch online that is not EStuPidN360, let me know).
I just saw the score and haven't read much about it yet, but it sounds like it was an exciting game and that Vandenberg played well. But who knows...not me. So anyway, I'll get back to you after I actually watch the game. (If anyone has a tape that they want to get to me in Ankeny...or a good method to watch online that is not EStuPidN360, let me know).
This is a very big game with a Rose Bowl bid on the line. The seniors from the class of 2005 have been waiting for this chance and now it's their last. Vandenberg is getting his first collegiate start and has to be feeling the pressure. But this is the last away game of the year and the road has been the Hawkeye's focus and friend. And with everything on the line, anything could happen.
The need to know:
What: #10 Iowa at #11 Ohio State
Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
When: 2:30 PM, November 14, 2009
TV: ABC
Quick Thoughts:
The need to know:
What: #10 Iowa at #11 Ohio State
Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
When: 2:30 PM, November 14, 2009
TV: ABC
Quick Thoughts:
- Defense, defense, defense - These are the 2 best defenses in the Big Ten so a low scoring game will be likely. Both create a lot of turnovers and keep points off the board. If Iowa has any shot at winning the D will need to be lights out...a defensive touchdown wouldn't hurt either.
- Injuries - The big one for Iowa is Stanzi...obviously. Ohio State is pretty healthy, but their starting kicker, Aaron Pettrey, is out and the backup is just 2/4 on field goals this year. If it is close and the game is put in the hands (more like the feet) of the kickers...advantage Iowa.
- Conservative coaching - "Tressel ball" vs. Ferentz ball? (Whatever you would call Ferentz's philosophy). Both of these coaches are known for their "conservative" brand of football. It's all field position, ball security, limiting mistakes, etc... Hopefully this will help keep the game close and give Iowa a chance to win.
This week is pretty straight forward. Two of the best defense will meet to battle for a trip to Pasadena. Points will be hard to come by as both offensive are mediocre. This game could come down to special team play, which could actually be a good thing.
Iowa Offense vs. Ohio State Defense
Ugh. To say the Buckeye Defense has an enormous advantage over the Hawkeye Offense is quite the understatement. Looking at the numbers, Iowa's offense was struggling before Stanzi went down. And now with Vandenberg (nothing against him) at the helm, it really does look hopeless, but I'll try to stay optimistic.
Ohio State doesn't give up yards, points, first downs, or really anything easily. The run defense is one of the best in the country and even though Robinson may see some time, it is unrealistic that Iowa will be able to run the ball consistently. The key will be to run the ball well enough to get the linebackers to bite on play action, hopefully freeing up Moeaki or maybe even a receiver down the field.
Like, Iowa though, the Buckeye secondary has been very good against the pass and is very opportunistic taking advantage of turnovers. Vandenberg will have a very tough time against this defense and will need to be decisive and interception free.
Overall Advantage: um...Ohio State
Iowa Defense vs. Ohio State Offense
It is pretty clear what Iowa needs to do here...force Terrell Pryor to throw the ball. Besides the stat for rushing yards, you see a lot of Hs up there as Ohio State's offense has been quite average while Iowa's defense has been very good.
Ohio State does have a decent run game, though a lot of those yards have come off of Pryor scrambling on pass plays. None of the running backs pose a huge threat and the line isn't spectacular, so Clayborn and Co. will have their opportunity to make plays. The key will just be to contain Pryor (the leading rusher).
If Iowa can force the Buckeyes into passing situation, then good things could happen. Really OSU's only successful passing play this year has been to go deep to Posey (or Sanzenbacher). Iowa will need to get pressure on Pryor and limit the big plays. If they do that, then there's a good chance of keeping the game close. A defensive touchdown would be huge.
Overall Advantage: Iowa
Iowa Special Teams vs. Ohio State Special Teams
*OSU's starting kicker was hurt, these are just the backup's numbers.
**The backup only has 4 kicks, which isn't enough to show up on the official NCAA stat rankings.
Considering that both defenses look like they have a big advantage over the offenses, the special teams will be a major factor. Ohio State has broken a couple of long returns, so Iowa will need to cover well. Hopefully Sandeman will be back to alleviate some of the trouble Iowa has had on punt returns the past couple of weeks. If not, Sash did okay.
Also, big advantage that Iowa has an experienced kicker in Murray. Ohio State is using its backup kicker who is just 2/4 on the year on field goals. With OSU's poor red zone efficiency, hopefully Iowa can keep them off the board by forcing field goals (that have a good chance of being missed).
Overall Advantage: Iowa (return game would go to Ohio State, but the kicker issue could be really big in a close game)
Prediction: I haven't picked Iowa to lose a game all year, but I have a hard time finding a win this week. I think the defense will keep the game close, but Pryor will make a play with his feet on a scramble late in the game that puts the game away. The offense will likely struggle against Ohio State's great defense, so I'd be surprised to see more than 10 points.
Realistic: Iowa 10 - Ohio State 17
Optimistic: Iowa 16 - Ohio State 14
Iowa Offense vs. Ohio State Defense
| Category | Iowa Offense | Ohio State Defense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 119.20 | 94 | 85.40 | 3 | BBBB |
| Passing Yards | 230.60 | 47 | 168.70 | 11 | BB |
| Passing Efficiency | 123.57 | 79 | 94.64 | 6 | BBB |
| Sacks | 2.20 | 74 | 2.70 | 23 | BBB |
| Total Yards | 349.80 | 82 | 254.10 | 6 | BBB |
| Scoring | 24.10 | 86 | 11.20 | 4 | BBBB |
| Turnovers | 21 | 97 | 25 | 5 | BBBB |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 41.50 | 47 | 31.54 | 12 | BB |
| Red Zone % | 86 | 29 | 81 | 52 | H |
Ugh. To say the Buckeye Defense has an enormous advantage over the Hawkeye Offense is quite the understatement. Looking at the numbers, Iowa's offense was struggling before Stanzi went down. And now with Vandenberg (nothing against him) at the helm, it really does look hopeless, but I'll try to stay optimistic.
Ohio State doesn't give up yards, points, first downs, or really anything easily. The run defense is one of the best in the country and even though Robinson may see some time, it is unrealistic that Iowa will be able to run the ball consistently. The key will be to run the ball well enough to get the linebackers to bite on play action, hopefully freeing up Moeaki or maybe even a receiver down the field.
Like, Iowa though, the Buckeye secondary has been very good against the pass and is very opportunistic taking advantage of turnovers. Vandenberg will have a very tough time against this defense and will need to be decisive and interception free.
Overall Advantage: um...Ohio State
Iowa Defense vs. Ohio State Offense
| Category | Iowa Defense | Ohio State Offense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 118.70 | 38 | 190.70 | 23 | B |
| Passing Yards | 173.00 | 16 | 183.10 | 98 | HHHH |
| Passing Efficiency | 94.30 | 4 | 129.80 | 57 | HHH |
| Sacks | 2.10 | 52 | 1.50 | 44 | - |
| Total Yards | 291.70 | 14 | 373.80 | 62 | HH |
| Scoring | 15.90 | 13 | 30.30 | 35 | H |
| Turnovers | 26 | 2 | 16 | 56 | HHH |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 36.67 | 43 | 41.43 | 50 | - |
| Red Zone % | 88 | 98 | 74 | 102 | - |
It is pretty clear what Iowa needs to do here...force Terrell Pryor to throw the ball. Besides the stat for rushing yards, you see a lot of Hs up there as Ohio State's offense has been quite average while Iowa's defense has been very good.
Ohio State does have a decent run game, though a lot of those yards have come off of Pryor scrambling on pass plays. None of the running backs pose a huge threat and the line isn't spectacular, so Clayborn and Co. will have their opportunity to make plays. The key will just be to contain Pryor (the leading rusher).
If Iowa can force the Buckeyes into passing situation, then good things could happen. Really OSU's only successful passing play this year has been to go deep to Posey (or Sanzenbacher). Iowa will need to get pressure on Pryor and limit the big plays. If they do that, then there's a good chance of keeping the game close. A defensive touchdown would be huge.
Overall Advantage: Iowa
Iowa Special Teams vs. Ohio State Special Teams
| Category | Iowa Special Teams | Ohio State Special Teams | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Kick Returns | 20.62 | 84 | 24.14 | 26 | BBB |
| Punt Returns | 7.77 | 79 | 8.60 | 67 | B |
| Net Punting | 38.36 | 19 | 36.87 | 37 | H |
| Field Goal % | 71.4 | 57 | 50.0* | 100+** | HH |
*OSU's starting kicker was hurt, these are just the backup's numbers.
**The backup only has 4 kicks, which isn't enough to show up on the official NCAA stat rankings.
Considering that both defenses look like they have a big advantage over the offenses, the special teams will be a major factor. Ohio State has broken a couple of long returns, so Iowa will need to cover well. Hopefully Sandeman will be back to alleviate some of the trouble Iowa has had on punt returns the past couple of weeks. If not, Sash did okay.
Also, big advantage that Iowa has an experienced kicker in Murray. Ohio State is using its backup kicker who is just 2/4 on the year on field goals. With OSU's poor red zone efficiency, hopefully Iowa can keep them off the board by forcing field goals (that have a good chance of being missed).
Overall Advantage: Iowa (return game would go to Ohio State, but the kicker issue could be really big in a close game)
Prediction: I haven't picked Iowa to lose a game all year, but I have a hard time finding a win this week. I think the defense will keep the game close, but Pryor will make a play with his feet on a scramble late in the game that puts the game away. The offense will likely struggle against Ohio State's great defense, so I'd be surprised to see more than 10 points.
Realistic: Iowa 10 - Ohio State 17
Optimistic: Iowa 16 - Ohio State 14
I've been sick the last couple of days, but I'm feeling better today. So hopefully sometime tonight after work I'll be up for posting something with actual content. This week has been slow for the blog in terms of traffic too, following the loss. I guess nobody wants to read about losing...me included.
The good news though, is that the Hawkeyes are feeling better too. They still have a shot at the Rose Bowl this week and 3 players should be back to some degree. Robinson, Greenwood, and Sandeman, who have all been out since getting hurt against Michigan State, are all expected to contribute this weekend.
In other site news...I'm going to be trying something new with Links For Iowa. I'm trying to make it automated from my Delicious account. We'll just have to see how it goes.
The good news though, is that the Hawkeyes are feeling better too. They still have a shot at the Rose Bowl this week and 3 players should be back to some degree. Robinson, Greenwood, and Sandeman, who have all been out since getting hurt against Michigan State, are all expected to contribute this weekend.
In other site news...I'm going to be trying something new with Links For Iowa. I'm trying to make it automated from my Delicious account. We'll just have to see how it goes.
Coach Ferentz met with the media today in his weekly Tuesday press conference. (Here's the full transcript). As expected, the main topic of conversation was the quarterback situation.
Stanzi
First, Stanzi's condition...he has had surgery on his right ankle and is expected to fully recover. He is, thankfully, very likely to be back for the bowl game. Stanzi will travel with the team and is still a captain this week.
Vandenberg
Ferentz is confident in James Vandenberg and, though he didn't directly say it, expects Vandenberg to bounce back and have a better game this upcoming week (he likened it to Vandenberg's first pass of the season than went straight into the ground and then came right back and threw a strike).
Offense
As we kind of saw last week, the playbook is a little bit more limited with a RS freshman, inexperienced QB. Expect more of the same this week. Iowa will run their offense...though Ferentz joked at the idea of a wildcat formation. Ferentz also praised OSU's defense, comparing it to an NFL D...so I expect a lot of run, run, run punt in the first half in hopes to set up a long play-action pass later in the game (big plays are really the only hope I think).
Robinson
There is actually some good news too. Adam Robinson is working his way back into the mix as he has been recovering quickly. He hasn't practiced yet, but could go this week. Maybe will see him as a backup to Wegher this week.
BCS?
Other good news...I kind of dismissed the idea of Iowa getting to a BCS bowl, Rose or otherwise, but the chances actually aren't that bad. A win this Saturday guarantees a Rose Bowl birth. Even a loss, and hope is not gone if Iowa can beat Minnesota at home to finish the season. A 10-2 Iowa is not out of the question if you start to look at the way the BCS is shaping up. (If Iowa does lose this weekend, then I'll take a look at all the scenarios).
Stanzi
First, Stanzi's condition...he has had surgery on his right ankle and is expected to fully recover. He is, thankfully, very likely to be back for the bowl game. Stanzi will travel with the team and is still a captain this week.
Vandenberg
Ferentz is confident in James Vandenberg and, though he didn't directly say it, expects Vandenberg to bounce back and have a better game this upcoming week (he likened it to Vandenberg's first pass of the season than went straight into the ground and then came right back and threw a strike).
Offense
As we kind of saw last week, the playbook is a little bit more limited with a RS freshman, inexperienced QB. Expect more of the same this week. Iowa will run their offense...though Ferentz joked at the idea of a wildcat formation. Ferentz also praised OSU's defense, comparing it to an NFL D...so I expect a lot of run, run, run punt in the first half in hopes to set up a long play-action pass later in the game (big plays are really the only hope I think).
Robinson
There is actually some good news too. Adam Robinson is working his way back into the mix as he has been recovering quickly. He hasn't practiced yet, but could go this week. Maybe will see him as a backup to Wegher this week.
BCS?
Other good news...I kind of dismissed the idea of Iowa getting to a BCS bowl, Rose or otherwise, but the chances actually aren't that bad. A win this Saturday guarantees a Rose Bowl birth. Even a loss, and hope is not gone if Iowa can beat Minnesota at home to finish the season. A 10-2 Iowa is not out of the question if you start to look at the way the BCS is shaping up. (If Iowa does lose this weekend, then I'll take a look at all the scenarios).
Another big week for high school playoffs. All three Hawkeye commits in Iowa that played on Friday night won and are head to the semifinals. Around the country Coker's team makes the playoffs, Hardy's team is on to the semis, and Poggi and Ferguson win their conference.
Iowa High School Playoffs:
James Morris: Solon 42 – Regina 7
Solon cruised to another victory (39th in a row) on Friday night by a score of 42-7 over Regina…coincidentally the exact same score of the week 8 match-up between the two. Morris had a monster game scoring a touchdown on all 5 of Solon’s first half possession. He had TD runs of 32, 10, 12, 1, and 57 yards and finished the night with 17 carries for 164 yards. Solon moves on to the semi-finals for 2A where they will play also undefeated North Fayette next Monday.
A.J. Derby: City High 35 – CR Washington 17
Derby was responsible for every City High score in a big win on Friday Night over Washington. He threw 4 touchdowns, including 1 on a fake punt (it must be nice to have your QB and punter be the same guy), and ran in another. Derby finished the game 9-17 for 198 yards and added 89 yards on 12 carries. The Little Hawks will play CR Xavier on Friday night in the UNI-Dome.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 21 - Bishop Heelan 14
Harlan gave up 404 passing yards but forced 4 turnovers and came out victorious against Heelan on Friday night. Hoch contributed with 14 carries for 68 of Harlan's 185 rushing yards.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 10 - McNamara 7
DeMatha had previously only been held under 35 points once this season (a 24-21 win over Good Counsel), but they were given all they could handle on Saturday needing a late 4th quarter TD to beat the McNamara Mustangs. Coker was back after missing time with pulled groin, and scored the game winning touchdown from 7 yards out. He finished with the day with 89 yards on 15 carries. DeMatha finishes the regular season a perfect 10-0 and moves on to the WCAC playoffs this week where they will play Gonzaga.
Jim Poggi & Anthony Ferguson: Gilman 34 - McDonogh 27
Gilman won a thrilling game against rival McDonogh. The victory wrapped up a conference title for Gilman who finished 4-1 in the MIAA A Conference. Ferguson gets a mention as he and a teammate combined for a win-preserving sack with under 3 minutes to go on Gilman's own 15 yard-line.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 42 – Pulaski 21
Kimberly stays on a roll and powers its way into the semifinals with a big win over Pulaski. The Papermakers were down 14-7 at halftime but got the offense going in the second half putting up 28 points in the 4th quarter alone. Kimberly will play Merrill in the semifinal round.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 12 - South Alabama 64
Milford was absolutely dominated by the South Alabama Jaguars. The defense could not stop the Jaguar offense as 7 different players scored a TD. Milford will close out its season next week at Navy.
Carl Davis Stevenson 35 - Warren Mott 21
The game was tied 7-7 at halftime before Stevenson rolled off 4 touchdowns in the 3rd quarter in route to a victory in the district finals of the playoffs. Stevenson will face off against Detriot Southeastern in the regional finals on Friday.
Donovan Johnson Martin 42 - Lamar 19
Martin clinched a playoff birth with a victory over cross-town rivals Lamar. Martin jumped out early to a 21-0 lead and never looked back.
De’Andre Johnson Monsignor 27 – Gulliver Prep 28
Johnson still out and Monsignor pace lost in a close one and failed to make the playoffs for the first time in 18 years. They finished their season 6-3.
Christian Kirksey & Don Shumpert: Hazelwood East 21 - Chaminade 24
Hazelwood East carried a 21-14 lead into halftime, but gave up 10 points in the fourth quarter and fell in the first round of the Missouri playoffs. Shumpert caught a pass for a 2-point conversion, but that was the only stat I could find. Hazelwood East finished their season 6-5
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
Iowa High School Playoffs:
James Morris: Solon 42 – Regina 7
Solon cruised to another victory (39th in a row) on Friday night by a score of 42-7 over Regina…coincidentally the exact same score of the week 8 match-up between the two. Morris had a monster game scoring a touchdown on all 5 of Solon’s first half possession. He had TD runs of 32, 10, 12, 1, and 57 yards and finished the night with 17 carries for 164 yards. Solon moves on to the semi-finals for 2A where they will play also undefeated North Fayette next Monday.
A.J. Derby: City High 35 – CR Washington 17
Derby was responsible for every City High score in a big win on Friday Night over Washington. He threw 4 touchdowns, including 1 on a fake punt (it must be nice to have your QB and punter be the same guy), and ran in another. Derby finished the game 9-17 for 198 yards and added 89 yards on 12 carries. The Little Hawks will play CR Xavier on Friday night in the UNI-Dome.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 21 - Bishop Heelan 14
Harlan gave up 404 passing yards but forced 4 turnovers and came out victorious against Heelan on Friday night. Hoch contributed with 14 carries for 68 of Harlan's 185 rushing yards.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 10 - McNamara 7
DeMatha had previously only been held under 35 points once this season (a 24-21 win over Good Counsel), but they were given all they could handle on Saturday needing a late 4th quarter TD to beat the McNamara Mustangs. Coker was back after missing time with pulled groin, and scored the game winning touchdown from 7 yards out. He finished with the day with 89 yards on 15 carries. DeMatha finishes the regular season a perfect 10-0 and moves on to the WCAC playoffs this week where they will play Gonzaga.
Jim Poggi & Anthony Ferguson: Gilman 34 - McDonogh 27
Gilman won a thrilling game against rival McDonogh. The victory wrapped up a conference title for Gilman who finished 4-1 in the MIAA A Conference. Ferguson gets a mention as he and a teammate combined for a win-preserving sack with under 3 minutes to go on Gilman's own 15 yard-line.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 42 – Pulaski 21
Kimberly stays on a roll and powers its way into the semifinals with a big win over Pulaski. The Papermakers were down 14-7 at halftime but got the offense going in the second half putting up 28 points in the 4th quarter alone. Kimberly will play Merrill in the semifinal round.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 12 - South Alabama 64
Milford was absolutely dominated by the South Alabama Jaguars. The defense could not stop the Jaguar offense as 7 different players scored a TD. Milford will close out its season next week at Navy.
Carl Davis Stevenson 35 - Warren Mott 21
The game was tied 7-7 at halftime before Stevenson rolled off 4 touchdowns in the 3rd quarter in route to a victory in the district finals of the playoffs. Stevenson will face off against Detriot Southeastern in the regional finals on Friday.
Donovan Johnson Martin 42 - Lamar 19
Martin clinched a playoff birth with a victory over cross-town rivals Lamar. Martin jumped out early to a 21-0 lead and never looked back.
De’Andre Johnson Monsignor 27 – Gulliver Prep 28
Johnson still out and Monsignor pace lost in a close one and failed to make the playoffs for the first time in 18 years. They finished their season 6-3.
Christian Kirksey & Don Shumpert: Hazelwood East 21 - Chaminade 24
Hazelwood East carried a 21-14 lead into halftime, but gave up 10 points in the fourth quarter and fell in the first round of the Missouri playoffs. Shumpert caught a pass for a 2-point conversion, but that was the only stat I could find. Hazelwood East finished their season 6-5
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
It's about time to move on from the loss and start looking forward to the huge game against Ohio State next week. Ohio State's domination of Penn State makes the game a battle between the two leading the Big Ten, with the winner likely (well only kind of likely in Iowa's case...beating Minnesota without Stanzi will be no easy task) going to the Rose Bowl. Before we get to that, though...
Scapegoats:
It's an inevitability that after any loss the fans come out and starting blaming one thing or another. I think the problems were pretty obvious yesterday...we finally had the one injury that broke the camel's back.
Ken O'Keefe
Some people are blaming Ken O'Keefe for this loss and even Ricky Stanzi's injury. This is absolutely nothing new...as soon as the offense struggles KOK is the first to be blamed. BGHP has a look at some of the offensive numbers over the years and opens a forum for ripping on KOK. Personally, I don't feel like KOK is the problem at all. In the past it has been poor QB play, inconsistent offensive lines, etc...that have hindered the offense. This year it is injuries. Look at the offense...pretty much every position has had injury problems that have led to a lack of cohesion (especially on the offensive line that was just starting to hit its groove when Richardson went down).
I thought the play calling after Stanzi went down was fine. KOK tried to find plays that Vandenberg could execute, but he just never got going. There was only so much KOK could do with the backup QB and 3rd or 4th option at running back.
Going back to those blaming KOK for Stanzi's injury... Um, no. Look at that play call again. It is Iowa's bread and butter and really more like Iowa's caviar and truffles. That naked boot to the right off of play-action has been Stanzi's best play of the year. Last week that play pretty much won the game...the McNutt TD, the two 3rd down conversion with Stanzi running the ball. I'm pretty sure one of the two tight ends should have blocked Wootton on that play or at least tried to slow him up before going out in their routes. He should not have come through untouched.
I've read that the play call was too risky and we shouldn't have rolled Stanzi into Wootton. But if we had ran it 3 straight times and punted or rolled Stanzi to the left, I'd probably be reading about how KOK was too conservative and shouldn't be rolling out a right-handed quarterback to the left. Yeah, the play sucked, but it's not KOK's fault.
Officiating
The officiating was particularly bad yesterday. It was very inconsistent and there were some calls or non-calls that definitely hurt Iowa (though some went Iowa's way too). There was the injury play that looked like Stanzi had his facemask grabbed, the multiple missed pass interference calls on the final drive, the Wegher fumble that was very obviously not a fumble, the questionable at best holding call on Eubanks that negated a touchdown, the missed roughing the passer, etc... Now this was hardly the reason Iowa lost, but it certainly did not help.
BCS:
At this point, nobody probably cares too much about the BCS standings. There is no chance Iowa gets in the top 2 now and there isn't really a chance of an at large bid at this point. Either Iowa wins out and goes to the Rose Bowl, or finishes 10-2 (or 9-3) and probably ends up in Florida. Anyway, Iowa stays in the top 10 this week, coming in at #10, one spot ahead of the next opponent, Ohio State.
Basketball:
Iowa basketball is here and they won an exhibition game against Marian University this afternoon 76-53. I watched part of it, but not enough to really have an opinion. I probably won't post much about about the basketball team in this space. Fight For Iowa is a football first blog, but if I watch a game or there is something that interests me I throw something together and post it.
Scapegoats:
It's an inevitability that after any loss the fans come out and starting blaming one thing or another. I think the problems were pretty obvious yesterday...we finally had the one injury that broke the camel's back.
Ken O'Keefe
Some people are blaming Ken O'Keefe for this loss and even Ricky Stanzi's injury. This is absolutely nothing new...as soon as the offense struggles KOK is the first to be blamed. BGHP has a look at some of the offensive numbers over the years and opens a forum for ripping on KOK. Personally, I don't feel like KOK is the problem at all. In the past it has been poor QB play, inconsistent offensive lines, etc...that have hindered the offense. This year it is injuries. Look at the offense...pretty much every position has had injury problems that have led to a lack of cohesion (especially on the offensive line that was just starting to hit its groove when Richardson went down).
- WR - Chaney (season over), Sandeman (missed the last 2...hopefully back soon), DJK (missed some practice and didn't play much the first few weeks)
- TE - Moeaki (actually played quite a bit this year for his standards)
- RB - Hampton (missed whole season), Brinson (missed a lot of practice, then out for the past few weeks), Robinson (hopefully back soon)
- OL - Bulaga (missed a couple games), Vandervelde (missed first game), Richardson (may be back for the bowl)
- QB - Stanzi (crap...)
I thought the play calling after Stanzi went down was fine. KOK tried to find plays that Vandenberg could execute, but he just never got going. There was only so much KOK could do with the backup QB and 3rd or 4th option at running back.
Going back to those blaming KOK for Stanzi's injury... Um, no. Look at that play call again. It is Iowa's bread and butter and really more like Iowa's caviar and truffles. That naked boot to the right off of play-action has been Stanzi's best play of the year. Last week that play pretty much won the game...the McNutt TD, the two 3rd down conversion with Stanzi running the ball. I'm pretty sure one of the two tight ends should have blocked Wootton on that play or at least tried to slow him up before going out in their routes. He should not have come through untouched.
I've read that the play call was too risky and we shouldn't have rolled Stanzi into Wootton. But if we had ran it 3 straight times and punted or rolled Stanzi to the left, I'd probably be reading about how KOK was too conservative and shouldn't be rolling out a right-handed quarterback to the left. Yeah, the play sucked, but it's not KOK's fault.
Officiating
The officiating was particularly bad yesterday. It was very inconsistent and there were some calls or non-calls that definitely hurt Iowa (though some went Iowa's way too). There was the injury play that looked like Stanzi had his facemask grabbed, the multiple missed pass interference calls on the final drive, the Wegher fumble that was very obviously not a fumble, the questionable at best holding call on Eubanks that negated a touchdown, the missed roughing the passer, etc... Now this was hardly the reason Iowa lost, but it certainly did not help.
BCS:
At this point, nobody probably cares too much about the BCS standings. There is no chance Iowa gets in the top 2 now and there isn't really a chance of an at large bid at this point. Either Iowa wins out and goes to the Rose Bowl, or finishes 10-2 (or 9-3) and probably ends up in Florida. Anyway, Iowa stays in the top 10 this week, coming in at #10, one spot ahead of the next opponent, Ohio State.
Basketball:
Iowa basketball is here and they won an exhibition game against Marian University this afternoon 76-53. I watched part of it, but not enough to really have an opinion. I probably won't post much about about the basketball team in this space. Fight For Iowa is a football first blog, but if I watch a game or there is something that interests me I throw something together and post it.
Well, this is the first time I've had to write about a loss, and it's not fun. The good news is that I've had a couple hours already to emotionally deal with it, because let's be honest, we all knew what was going to happen when Stanzi went down. There's a reason Stanzi stayed in the game last week after throwing 4 picks in the 3rd, and that reason showed itself today.
In no way would I put this on Vandenberg though. He played okay considering the circumstances (though 9 of 27 for 82 yards is not very good) and I think he'll be a good QB in a couple of year. Besides the first pick I thought he made good decisions (though at times he was a little indecisive). He just wasn't quite dialed in and missed some open receivers.
Unfortunately as well, the run game never really got going. Northwestern had the luxury of stacking the box throughout the middle of the game (because without Stanzi we were obviously going to run more) and then sitting back late in the game when Iowa obviously had to pass to come back.
The defense, I thought played well and did what it does. They gave up yards, but not points (only 10). Northwestern, of course, had their own quarterback issues to deal with but Kafka was still able to play and Persa had a little bit more experience than Vandenberg going in to the game.
Iowa was kind of unlucky for the first time this week too (SI curse....?). They had a TD called back for a questionable holding call. Vandenberg was within a few feet of hitting DJK that likely would have been a TD in the 4th to tie. Murray missed a field goal, by what looked like inches that would have made it 13-14 and may have changed the game. Wegher lost his first fumble (that clearly was not a fumble...why didn't they stop play to review that one?) of the year.
In the end though, it's hard to win a game with 4 turnovers and your backup quarterback. The Rose Bowl is still possible (go Penn State!) so let's hope Stanzi heals quickly. And even if Iowa has to go with Vandenberg and ends up losing the next 2, it's been a good ride.
In no way would I put this on Vandenberg though. He played okay considering the circumstances (though 9 of 27 for 82 yards is not very good) and I think he'll be a good QB in a couple of year. Besides the first pick I thought he made good decisions (though at times he was a little indecisive). He just wasn't quite dialed in and missed some open receivers.
Unfortunately as well, the run game never really got going. Northwestern had the luxury of stacking the box throughout the middle of the game (because without Stanzi we were obviously going to run more) and then sitting back late in the game when Iowa obviously had to pass to come back.
The defense, I thought played well and did what it does. They gave up yards, but not points (only 10). Northwestern, of course, had their own quarterback issues to deal with but Kafka was still able to play and Persa had a little bit more experience than Vandenberg going in to the game.
Iowa was kind of unlucky for the first time this week too (SI curse....?). They had a TD called back for a questionable holding call. Vandenberg was within a few feet of hitting DJK that likely would have been a TD in the 4th to tie. Murray missed a field goal, by what looked like inches that would have made it 13-14 and may have changed the game. Wegher lost his first fumble (that clearly was not a fumble...why didn't they stop play to review that one?) of the year.
In the end though, it's hard to win a game with 4 turnovers and your backup quarterback. The Rose Bowl is still possible (go Penn State!) so let's hope Stanzi heals quickly. And even if Iowa has to go with Vandenberg and ends up losing the next 2, it's been a good ride.
Northwestern is back at Kinnick for the second year in a row and this time the Hawkeyes are hoping for a better result. A win would make Iowa the first team to 10 wins and keep the Rose Bowl and even the national title hopes still alive.
The need to know:
What: #4 Iowa vs. Northwestern
Where: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
When: 11:00 AM, November 6, 2009
TV: ESPN
Thoughts on the game:
Injuries
Once again injuries will play a big role in this game. The biggest may be to the Wildcat's QB Mike Kafka. Kafka hurt his hamstring last week against Penn State in the 2nd quarter and did not return to the game. He is listed as a co-starter this week and was not on the injury report...but I've heard he may not be ready to go. Either way, it's likely he will not be 100% which could have a major impact on Northwestern's offense as Kafka is the team's leading passer and rusher. He accounts for nearly 70% of all the yards gained this year.
On the Hawkeye side of things...Sandeman is out again still feeling the effects of the concussion he sustained against MSU. Robinson is also out, but Wegher should be able to carry the load again. Greenwood is a maybe, but wasn't on the depth chart.
Stanzi
I really don't see Northwestern having much of a chance in this game without some help from Stanzi. I think this week he can go back to the "game manager" role and come away with a victory while putting up some big numbers if Northwestern stacks the box. The good news is that the weather should be much nicer. At kickoff, the forecast shows 64 degrees with 8 mph winds....and it should get warmer and less windy as the game goes on.
Wildcats to keep an eye on
The need to know:
What: #4 Iowa vs. Northwestern
Where: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
When: 11:00 AM, November 6, 2009
TV: ESPN
Thoughts on the game:
Injuries
Once again injuries will play a big role in this game. The biggest may be to the Wildcat's QB Mike Kafka. Kafka hurt his hamstring last week against Penn State in the 2nd quarter and did not return to the game. He is listed as a co-starter this week and was not on the injury report...but I've heard he may not be ready to go. Either way, it's likely he will not be 100% which could have a major impact on Northwestern's offense as Kafka is the team's leading passer and rusher. He accounts for nearly 70% of all the yards gained this year.
On the Hawkeye side of things...Sandeman is out again still feeling the effects of the concussion he sustained against MSU. Robinson is also out, but Wegher should be able to carry the load again. Greenwood is a maybe, but wasn't on the depth chart.
Stanzi
I really don't see Northwestern having much of a chance in this game without some help from Stanzi. I think this week he can go back to the "game manager" role and come away with a victory while putting up some big numbers if Northwestern stacks the box. The good news is that the weather should be much nicer. At kickoff, the forecast shows 64 degrees with 8 mph winds....and it should get warmer and less windy as the game goes on.
Wildcats to keep an eye on
- DE Corey Wootton - I said last week that it seems like every week Iowa is up against an outstanding defensive end...well this week is no different. Wootton has been injured some this year, but is still very disruptive.
- LB Quentin Davie - Davie leads the team in tackles, tackles for loss, sacks, QB hurries, and forced fumbles.
- WR Andrew Brewer - Brewer has been coming on strong and has 22 catches, 2 for TDs, in the last 3 weeks. He leads the team in touchdown receptions with 5 and is the Wildcats only deep threat.
Sure, we've heard it before, the adage that defense wins championships. These days, however, the national media cares more about explosive offenses and star quarterbacks than disciplined defenses and shutdown corners. Perhaps the media needs to take a closer look at the numbers as the teams rising to the top of the standings all have one thing in common...a great defense
Coefficient of Determination:
The coefficient of determination (r-squared), without getting all technical, is a statistical representation of how well a piece of data predicts an outcome. I determined r-squared for Total Offense, Total Defense, Scoring Offense, and Scoring Defense as predictors of a team's winning percentage.
More Stats:
Another revealing defensive statistic is pass efficiency defense. The top 5 are Florida, Alabama, Iowa, Oregon, and Texas...all vying for a spot in the championship game. Texas and Florida are atop the 3rd down defense and TCU, Florida, Boise State, Alabama, and Iowa are all in the top 10 in first down defense.
Hawkeyes:
So it's no real wonder why the Hawkeyes are winning...it's defense. Iowa is 3rd overall in pass efficiency defense and in the top 20 for both total defense (19) and scoring defense (13). The defense has only given up over 20 points twice, against Michigan (21) and Indiana (24) (Arkansas State scored 21, but 7 were off an interception). When you hold a team to under 20 points, you win a lot of games, even if the offense is only averaging 25.7 points per game.
Coefficient of Determination:
The coefficient of determination (r-squared), without getting all technical, is a statistical representation of how well a piece of data predicts an outcome. I determined r-squared for Total Offense, Total Defense, Scoring Offense, and Scoring Defense as predictors of a team's winning percentage.
- Scoring Defense - .573
- Scoring Offense - .572
- Total Defense - .425
- Total Offense -.275
More Stats:
Another revealing defensive statistic is pass efficiency defense. The top 5 are Florida, Alabama, Iowa, Oregon, and Texas...all vying for a spot in the championship game. Texas and Florida are atop the 3rd down defense and TCU, Florida, Boise State, Alabama, and Iowa are all in the top 10 in first down defense.
Hawkeyes:
So it's no real wonder why the Hawkeyes are winning...it's defense. Iowa is 3rd overall in pass efficiency defense and in the top 20 for both total defense (19) and scoring defense (13). The defense has only given up over 20 points twice, against Michigan (21) and Indiana (24) (Arkansas State scored 21, but 7 were off an interception). When you hold a team to under 20 points, you win a lot of games, even if the offense is only averaging 25.7 points per game.
Let's dive right into the numbers this week...
Iowa Offense vs. Northwestern Defense
I'll admit, I was actually quite shocked when I saw the stats for Northwestern's defense. Considering the unit has gone through 20 starters (9 in the secondary alone), they have played decently. Against the run the Wildcats have been okay with a solid defensive line. They are giving up less than 4 yards per carry, but have struggled the last two weeks against Indiana and Penn State (who averaged 5.9 and 6.0 yards per carry respectively). Obviously Iowa's ground game will rely again on Wegher. He showed last week that he can carry the load and I would expect a similar effort this week.
I don't know what to think about Iowa's passing attack. Looking at the numbers, Stanzi should once again have the advantage facing a mangled Wildcat secondary. As long as it is not windy, I expect Stanzi to put up another big game.
The key here for Iowa is going to be sustaining drives. Northwestern has been good at getting the defense off of the field, either by a turnover or stopping a 3rd down conversion. They have been especially good inside the red zone.
Overall Advantage: the numbers say Northwestern...but with all the injuries you would have to think Iowa.
Iowa Defense vs. Northwestern Offense
Another week with an overwhelming amount of Hs. Northwestern throws for a lot of yards, but that's about it. They don't score a lot of points and they make mistakes at critical times (turnovers and sacks).
Iowa should be able to make Northwestern completely one dimensional as the Wildcat run game has been very inconsistent. They have had injuries at running back, and perhaps the biggest rushing threat, Kafka, may not be 100% with a minor hamstring injury. I would be very surprised if Northwestern ran for over 100 yards.
If Kafka is healthy, he should be able to find open receivers underneath Iowa's zone coverage. However, dinking and dunking will not lead to touchdowns and will not be enough for Northwestern to stay in this game. They will need to take some shots down the field eventually, which will play right into Iowa's strength of the defense.
Overall Advantage: Iowa and it's not even close
Iowa Special Teams vs. Northwestern Special Teams
Besides last week, Iowa has been rock solid on special teams. Northwestern on the other hand has been really poor. Besides a good place kicker, Stefan Demos who is 13-15, the Wildcats rank near the bottom of the country in the return game and in punting. The "hidden yards" that were talked about so much last week definitely favor Iowa.
Overall Advantage: Iowa
Prediction: It seems like every week I think will be the week that the offense gets it going...and I'll stay true to form this week. Stanzi comes out with something to prove and gets his second 300 yard game in a row. Wegher plays better with a start under his belt and the offense carries the momentum gained in the 4th quarter last week. The defense takes advantage of an ailing Kafka forcing multiple turnovers after giving up an early TD.
Iowa 31 - Northwestern 13
Iowa Offense vs. Northwestern Defense
| Category | Iowa Offense | Northwestern Defense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 125.22 | 89 | 122.89 | 49 | WW |
| Passing Yards | 232.22 | 45 | 226.22 | 71 | H |
| Passing Efficiency | 128.80 | 58 | 133.18 | 83 | H |
| Sacks | 2.22 | 74 | 2.33 | 45 | W |
| Total Yards | 357.44 | 74 | 349.11 | 51 | W |
| Scoring | 25.67 | 74 | 24.78 | 68 | - |
| Turnovers | 17 | 80 | 18 | 27 | WWW |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 42.86 | 40 | 36.61 | 49 | - |
| Red Zone % | 85 | 38 | 76 | 31 | - |
I'll admit, I was actually quite shocked when I saw the stats for Northwestern's defense. Considering the unit has gone through 20 starters (9 in the secondary alone), they have played decently. Against the run the Wildcats have been okay with a solid defensive line. They are giving up less than 4 yards per carry, but have struggled the last two weeks against Indiana and Penn State (who averaged 5.9 and 6.0 yards per carry respectively). Obviously Iowa's ground game will rely again on Wegher. He showed last week that he can carry the load and I would expect a similar effort this week.
I don't know what to think about Iowa's passing attack. Looking at the numbers, Stanzi should once again have the advantage facing a mangled Wildcat secondary. As long as it is not windy, I expect Stanzi to put up another big game.
The key here for Iowa is going to be sustaining drives. Northwestern has been good at getting the defense off of the field, either by a turnover or stopping a 3rd down conversion. They have been especially good inside the red zone.
Overall Advantage: the numbers say Northwestern...but with all the injuries you would have to think Iowa.
Iowa Defense vs. Northwestern Offense
| Category | Iowa Defense | Northwestern Offense | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Rushing Yards | 117.44 | 39 | 121.89 | 94 | HH |
| Passing Yards | 180.11 | 26 | 268.33 | 24 | - |
| Passing Efficiency | 94.25 | 3 | 130.23 | 53 | HHH |
| Sacks | 2.00 | 55 | 2.67 | 94 | HH |
| Total Yards | 297.56 | 19 | 390.22 | 52 | HH |
| Scoring | 15.78 | 13 | 25.67 | 74 | HHH |
| Turnovers | 25 | 4 | 19 | 95 | HHHH |
| 3rd Down Conversion | 34.85 | 31 | 49.34 | 9 | W |
| Red Zone % | 87 | 95 | 85 | 38 | WWW |
Another week with an overwhelming amount of Hs. Northwestern throws for a lot of yards, but that's about it. They don't score a lot of points and they make mistakes at critical times (turnovers and sacks).
Iowa should be able to make Northwestern completely one dimensional as the Wildcat run game has been very inconsistent. They have had injuries at running back, and perhaps the biggest rushing threat, Kafka, may not be 100% with a minor hamstring injury. I would be very surprised if Northwestern ran for over 100 yards.
If Kafka is healthy, he should be able to find open receivers underneath Iowa's zone coverage. However, dinking and dunking will not lead to touchdowns and will not be enough for Northwestern to stay in this game. They will need to take some shots down the field eventually, which will play right into Iowa's strength of the defense.
Overall Advantage: Iowa and it's not even close
Iowa Special Teams vs. Northwestern Special Teams
| Category | Iowa Special Teams | Northwestern Special Teams | Advantage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stat | Rank | Stat | Rank | ||
| Kick Returns | 20.63 | 83 | 19.00 | 106 | H |
| Punt Returns | 8.45 | 68 | 6.76 | 83 | H |
| Net Punting | 37.90 | 23 | 32.35 | 108 | HHHHH |
| Field Goal % | 73.7 | 57 | 86.7 | 22 | WW |
Besides last week, Iowa has been rock solid on special teams. Northwestern on the other hand has been really poor. Besides a good place kicker, Stefan Demos who is 13-15, the Wildcats rank near the bottom of the country in the return game and in punting. The "hidden yards" that were talked about so much last week definitely favor Iowa.
Overall Advantage: Iowa
Prediction: It seems like every week I think will be the week that the offense gets it going...and I'll stay true to form this week. Stanzi comes out with something to prove and gets his second 300 yard game in a row. Wegher plays better with a start under his belt and the offense carries the momentum gained in the 4th quarter last week. The defense takes advantage of an ailing Kafka forcing multiple turnovers after giving up an early TD.
Iowa 31 - Northwestern 13
I have seen and heard a lot of debate over who Iowa should be rooting for this weekend when Ohio State travels to Happy Valley to take on the Nittany Lions. Both sides have valid points, but in the end I think there is one true winner.
You may remember Payoff Matrices from economics or maybe from the movie A Beautiful Mind. Anyway, they are a simple way of applying the Nash Equilibrium (Google it if you need to) to determine the best "strategy" in a game. In this case, the strategy is who we want to win the Penn State vs. Ohio State game.
For this exercise I'm assuming the 3 teams in question (Iowa, PSU, and OSU) all take care of business the rest of the season (because none of this matters if Iowa fails to beat Northwestern). So there are 4 scenarios to looks at as seen in the below matrix.
The Hawkeyes control only one axis of this matrix...win or lose against Ohio State. If Iowa loses to Ohio State, then obviously the better situation is for Penn State to win on Saturday. This would ensure a Rose Bowl birth. Simple and sweet.
If Iowa wins in Ohio Stadium, then things get a little more interesting. ESPN's Big Ten super blogger Adam Rittenberg outlines the argument for the Buckeyes. He says that Iowa should want OSU to win because "any true competitor wants to play the best, and if Iowa wants to get the credit it deserves for completing a brutal Big Ten road schedule, it should want Ohio State to be ranked as highly as possible..." A fine argument, but he overlooks the fact that Iowa already beat Penn State in Happy Valley. At the end of the year what is going to look more impressive: a road win against an 11-1 PSU and an 8-4 OSU or a road win against a 10-2 PSU and a 9-3 OSU? If Penn State were 11-1 they would be a top 10 team with a likely at-large BCS birth awaiting, and that win back in week 4 would look very impressive. I think that far outweighs a win over a 9-3 Ohio State team that lost to Purdue. If Iowa happens to be jarring for a spot in the championship game and the analysts are weighing in on Iowa's resume, I want a spectacular signature win (something Texas will not have) instead of 2 pretty good wins.
In both Hawkeye controlled cases then (an Iowa win or an Iowa loss against Ohio State), I would argue that a Penn State victory would help the cause. So, I will be fighting and cheering for Penn State this weekend.
You may remember Payoff Matrices from economics or maybe from the movie A Beautiful Mind. Anyway, they are a simple way of applying the Nash Equilibrium (Google it if you need to) to determine the best "strategy" in a game. In this case, the strategy is who we want to win the Penn State vs. Ohio State game.
For this exercise I'm assuming the 3 teams in question (Iowa, PSU, and OSU) all take care of business the rest of the season (because none of this matters if Iowa fails to beat Northwestern). So there are 4 scenarios to looks at as seen in the below matrix.
| Iowa Beats OSU | Iowa Loses to OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| PSU Beats OSU | NC/Rose; PSU 11-1; OSU 8-4 | Rose Bowl |
| OSU Beats PSU | NC/Rose; PSU 10-2; OSU 9-3 | At-Large/Cap One |
The Hawkeyes control only one axis of this matrix...win or lose against Ohio State. If Iowa loses to Ohio State, then obviously the better situation is for Penn State to win on Saturday. This would ensure a Rose Bowl birth. Simple and sweet.
If Iowa wins in Ohio Stadium, then things get a little more interesting. ESPN's Big Ten super blogger Adam Rittenberg outlines the argument for the Buckeyes. He says that Iowa should want OSU to win because "any true competitor wants to play the best, and if Iowa wants to get the credit it deserves for completing a brutal Big Ten road schedule, it should want Ohio State to be ranked as highly as possible..." A fine argument, but he overlooks the fact that Iowa already beat Penn State in Happy Valley. At the end of the year what is going to look more impressive: a road win against an 11-1 PSU and an 8-4 OSU or a road win against a 10-2 PSU and a 9-3 OSU? If Penn State were 11-1 they would be a top 10 team with a likely at-large BCS birth awaiting, and that win back in week 4 would look very impressive. I think that far outweighs a win over a 9-3 Ohio State team that lost to Purdue. If Iowa happens to be jarring for a spot in the championship game and the analysts are weighing in on Iowa's resume, I want a spectacular signature win (something Texas will not have) instead of 2 pretty good wins.
In both Hawkeye controlled cases then (an Iowa win or an Iowa loss against Ohio State), I would argue that a Penn State victory would help the cause. So, I will be fighting and cheering for Penn State this weekend.
Last night was the first round of the Iowa High School playoffs and 5 future Hawks were in action. There were also a few games played by commits last Friday and over the weekend.
Iowa High School Playoffs:
Austin Vier: Ballard 17 - Clear Lake 31
Ballard's season ended last night falling to #2 Clear Lake. The Bomber were up 14-0 early, but Clear Lake's triple-option was too much to handle. Austin Vier started the game off well throwing an early 6 yard touchdown. But Vier got a case of Stanzi-itis and threw 4 interceptions, including one that was returned for a TD with just 2 minutes left in the game as Ballard was trying to come back. Vier finished the season going 66 of 139 (47.5%) for 748 yards. He also threw 7 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.
James Morris: Solon 42 – Mid-Prairie 13
Solon didn't miss a beat rolling over yet another opponent trying to win what would be their 3rd straight title. Solon ran all over Mid-Prairie racking up 330 yards on the ground in route to a big victory. Solon only threw the ball 5 times, 4 times by Morris who was 2 of 4 for 60 yards, but had 1 intercepted. Morris also ran 13 times for 115 yards and 1 touchdown (the first score of the day). Solon will face off against Regina, a team they beat 42-7 in week 8, on Friday.
Brandon Scherff: Denison 14 – Bishop Heelan 34
Denison-Schleswig had a rough night against Bishop Heelan Crusaders. The Monarchs allowed 2 touchdown returns on kickoffs and could not get its offense going until the 4th quarter after the deficit was already too much to overcome. Denison-Schleswig's season ends with a record of 6-4.
A.J. Derby: City High 24 – Hempstead 7
Iowa City High's defense dominated last night in a victory of Dubuque Hempstead giving up only a late 4th quarter touchdown. The offense also did its part using a couple of big pass plays to put up 24 points. Derby struggled a little running the ball and finished with 11 rushes for 40 yards. He had a good night passing though going 12-19 for 136 yards and 2 touchdowns. City High will face off against CR Washington (and Andre Dawson...wish he would commit to Iowa too!) on Friday night in a rematch of the September 5th game that the Little Hawks dominated 65-21.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 48 - ADM 0
Harlan shut out its 6th opponent of the year last night winning big over ADM. Matt Hoch had an excellent night scoring the first touchdown of the game with a 50 yard run half way through the first quarter. He also tacked on a 2 yard dive into the endzone right before halftime that put the Cyclones up 28-0. Harlan will face off against Bishop Heelan this Friday. Harlan beat Heelan 24-6 back in week 2 and it was Heelan's only loss this year.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 44 - Carroll 0
Coker sat out for the second straight week with a groin injury. DeMatha still won easily and moved to 9-0.
Jim Poggi & Anthony Ferguson: Gilman 42 - Mt. St. Joseph 0
Gilman dominated on Saturday scoring 35 first half points and ended up winning by 6 TDs. Gilman is now 3-1 in conference and this weekend will be playing for the conference title against McDonogh.
Christian Kirksey & Don Shumpert: Hazelwood East 32 – Zumwalt North 18
Hazelwood East continued to roll winning its 6th game in a row. After going into halftime tied at 12 a piece, East but up a big second half to beat Zumwalt North. Shumpert had 9 catches for 98 yards and a catch on a 2-point conversion. Kirksey yet again led the team in tackles with 9. I am really starting to believe Kirksey is going to be a special player. He has a ridiculous 143 tackles in just 10 games.
Andrew Donnal: Anthony Wayne 49 - Springfield 0
Anthony Wayne blanked another opponent winning big for the second week in a row. Anthony Wayne ends its season 7-3.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 35 – Green Bay Southwest 6
Kimberly moves on to the 3rd round of the Wisconsin playoffs with a 29-point victory. Last week on Tuesday (in-between recruit roundups) Kimberly beat De Pere 51-31 in the first round.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 0 - Erie JJC 18
Milford lost its 3rd game of the year failing to put any points on the board despite 3 red zone trips.
B.J. Lowery Hughes Center 6 – Taft 22
In the final game of the year, Hughes Center lost to Taft 6-22. Hughes Center finishes the season with only one win.
Carl Davis Stevenson 35 - Roseville 0
Stevenson won easily despite having 4 turnovers in the Pre-District round of the Michigan High School playoffs. The team moves to 10-0 and advances to the second round of the playoff where they will face Warren Mott, a team they just beat last week 49-21.
Donovan Johnson Martin 29 - Mansfield Summet 40
Martin held a 1 point advantage at the end of the 3rd quarter but gave up 13 4th quarter points in a loss to Mansfield Summet.
De’Andre Johnson Monsignor 31 – Somerset Academy 6
Johnson still out, but Monsignor is not missing him winning big again.
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
Iowa High School Playoffs:
Austin Vier: Ballard 17 - Clear Lake 31
Ballard's season ended last night falling to #2 Clear Lake. The Bomber were up 14-0 early, but Clear Lake's triple-option was too much to handle. Austin Vier started the game off well throwing an early 6 yard touchdown. But Vier got a case of Stanzi-itis and threw 4 interceptions, including one that was returned for a TD with just 2 minutes left in the game as Ballard was trying to come back. Vier finished the season going 66 of 139 (47.5%) for 748 yards. He also threw 7 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.
James Morris: Solon 42 – Mid-Prairie 13
Solon didn't miss a beat rolling over yet another opponent trying to win what would be their 3rd straight title. Solon ran all over Mid-Prairie racking up 330 yards on the ground in route to a big victory. Solon only threw the ball 5 times, 4 times by Morris who was 2 of 4 for 60 yards, but had 1 intercepted. Morris also ran 13 times for 115 yards and 1 touchdown (the first score of the day). Solon will face off against Regina, a team they beat 42-7 in week 8, on Friday.
Brandon Scherff: Denison 14 – Bishop Heelan 34
Denison-Schleswig had a rough night against Bishop Heelan Crusaders. The Monarchs allowed 2 touchdown returns on kickoffs and could not get its offense going until the 4th quarter after the deficit was already too much to overcome. Denison-Schleswig's season ends with a record of 6-4.
A.J. Derby: City High 24 – Hempstead 7
Iowa City High's defense dominated last night in a victory of Dubuque Hempstead giving up only a late 4th quarter touchdown. The offense also did its part using a couple of big pass plays to put up 24 points. Derby struggled a little running the ball and finished with 11 rushes for 40 yards. He had a good night passing though going 12-19 for 136 yards and 2 touchdowns. City High will face off against CR Washington (and Andre Dawson...wish he would commit to Iowa too!) on Friday night in a rematch of the September 5th game that the Little Hawks dominated 65-21.
Matt Hoch: Harlan 48 - ADM 0
Harlan shut out its 6th opponent of the year last night winning big over ADM. Matt Hoch had an excellent night scoring the first touchdown of the game with a 50 yard run half way through the first quarter. He also tacked on a 2 yard dive into the endzone right before halftime that put the Cyclones up 28-0. Harlan will face off against Bishop Heelan this Friday. Harlan beat Heelan 24-6 back in week 2 and it was Heelan's only loss this year.
Other Commits:
Marcus Coker: DeMatha 44 - Carroll 0
Coker sat out for the second straight week with a groin injury. DeMatha still won easily and moved to 9-0.
Jim Poggi & Anthony Ferguson: Gilman 42 - Mt. St. Joseph 0
Gilman dominated on Saturday scoring 35 first half points and ended up winning by 6 TDs. Gilman is now 3-1 in conference and this weekend will be playing for the conference title against McDonogh.
Christian Kirksey & Don Shumpert: Hazelwood East 32 – Zumwalt North 18
Hazelwood East continued to roll winning its 6th game in a row. After going into halftime tied at 12 a piece, East but up a big second half to beat Zumwalt North. Shumpert had 9 catches for 98 yards and a catch on a 2-point conversion. Kirksey yet again led the team in tackles with 9. I am really starting to believe Kirksey is going to be a special player. He has a ridiculous 143 tackles in just 10 games.
Andrew Donnal: Anthony Wayne 49 - Springfield 0
Anthony Wayne blanked another opponent winning big for the second week in a row. Anthony Wayne ends its season 7-3.
Mike Hardy: Kimberly 35 – Green Bay Southwest 6
Kimberly moves on to the 3rd round of the Wisconsin playoffs with a 29-point victory. Last week on Tuesday (in-between recruit roundups) Kimberly beat De Pere 51-31 in the first round.
Stephane N’goumou Milford 0 - Erie JJC 18
Milford lost its 3rd game of the year failing to put any points on the board despite 3 red zone trips.
B.J. Lowery Hughes Center 6 – Taft 22
In the final game of the year, Hughes Center lost to Taft 6-22. Hughes Center finishes the season with only one win.
Carl Davis Stevenson 35 - Roseville 0
Stevenson won easily despite having 4 turnovers in the Pre-District round of the Michigan High School playoffs. The team moves to 10-0 and advances to the second round of the playoff where they will face Warren Mott, a team they just beat last week 49-21.
Donovan Johnson Martin 29 - Mansfield Summet 40
Martin held a 1 point advantage at the end of the 3rd quarter but gave up 13 4th quarter points in a loss to Mansfield Summet.
De’Andre Johnson Monsignor 31 – Somerset Academy 6
Johnson still out, but Monsignor is not missing him winning big again.
Note: Some players are already done for the season so are not included in this roundup.
Previous Recruit Roundups:
I have to admit, at half time I said that it was not time to panic yet, but in that third quarter, I was starting to worry a little (and by a little, I mean a whole lot). But the Hawkeyes got it done once again and are sitting pretty at 9-0. Those 28 4th quarter points were more points that Iowa has put up in 6 different games this year and the most scored in a quarter since the 28 points scored first quarter in a 56-0 win against Ball State the first week of the 2005 season.
What was really remarkable to me (besides those long TD passes) was the defense in the 3rd quarter. With 4 Stanzi interceptions, Indiana had drives starting at their own 5, Iowa's 4, their 34, Iowa's 24, and their 46. That averages to a starting position on Iowa's 48 yard line. Indiana also got to the red zone 3 times that quarter. But the Hawkeye defense stood strong and actually outscored Indiana 7-3 in the 3rd quarter. Tyler Sash returned an interception 86 yards for a TD when Indiana was 3rd and goal. The defense also held Indiana to field goal attempts on the other 2 red zone trips (though the refs may have helped a little...both calls were very close). Indiana's kicker only converted on one of those field goals.
Stars of the Game:
Offense - Brandon Wegher
Wegher was probably the coaches 4th choice (maybe even 5th) at running back coming into the season. But with a slew of injuries he came out as a starter for the first time in his short career and had a very good day. He ran the ball 25 times for 118 yards. He had 3 touchdowns, including 2 in the 4th quarter that helped seal the win. He also had 1 catch for 8 yards.
Offense Honorable Mention - DJK
Though McNutt had more receiving yards and one more reception, I thought DJK was the best receiver in the game. He made a great cut on his long touchdown catch running through 3 or 4 defenders in route to the endzone. He also consistently broke free from his defender finding space in the defense. On 2 of Stanzi's interceptions, DJK was wide open, but the ball was just under-thrown (or caught up in the wind). He finished the day with 3 catches for 117 yards. vHe also did a nice job on kickoff returns averaging 27 yards per return.
Defense - Shaun Prater
Prater missed the first two games of the year under suspension. He also missed some time with a minor injury. When he has played he has been very good, but has been overshadowed by Amari Spievey. This week though, he had a chance to shine as Indiana wasvthrowing in his direction all day long (I would avoid Spievey's side too). And, for the most part he handled it well. He was 3rd on the team with 8 tackles (7 solo) and had an interception and 3 pass break ups. That's not to say he had a perfect game...Indiana's 2nd TD came against Prater in coverage (it was actually double coverage, but the pass and catch were very well executed). He also gave up a 45 yard pass where he was called for pass interference (great catch though by Belcher). Still, he had a very good game yesterday.
Keys of the Game:
The Red Zone
I wrote before the game that red zone play would bea key in the game and it definitely was. Indiana drove into the red zone 6 times. In the first half they came away with 3 TDs and a 21-7 lead. In the second half, however, their 3 red zone trips resulted in a missed field goal, an interception returned for a TD, and a made field goal.
Iowa was only in the red zone twice against Indiana's 11th-best-in-the-country red zone defense. The Hawkeyes came away both times with Brandon Wegher TD runs.
The Big Play
Coming into the game I was worried that the big plays would go in Indiana's favor. The Hawkeye defense and coverage teams did an excellent job holding the Hoosiers in check. Ray Fisher, who averaged almost 40 yards per kick return had just one return for 25 yards. Also, Darrius Willis, who has broken off several long TD runs this year, was held to 54 yards on 21 carries. His long of the day was just 11 yards. The defense really only gave up one big play, the 45 pass to Belcher. The good news, though, is that after the long pass, the defense held and the drive ended with a missed field goal.
Iowa obviously had some huge plays yesterday when coming back from behind. It started with the quintuple-ricocheted interception by Sash that he ran back for a TD. Then came the 92-yard McNutt touchdown and the 66-yard DJK touchdown.
Final Thought of the Morning:
This season has been a lot of fun and great to blog about. Iowa hasn't lost since I started this blog (knock on wood). Now there are only 3 more weeks to go...and that game at Ohio State in a couple of weeks looks like it might be one of the biggest games in Hawkeye history as there will be a lot on the line.
What was really remarkable to me (besides those long TD passes) was the defense in the 3rd quarter. With 4 Stanzi interceptions, Indiana had drives starting at their own 5, Iowa's 4, their 34, Iowa's 24, and their 46. That averages to a starting position on Iowa's 48 yard line. Indiana also got to the red zone 3 times that quarter. But the Hawkeye defense stood strong and actually outscored Indiana 7-3 in the 3rd quarter. Tyler Sash returned an interception 86 yards for a TD when Indiana was 3rd and goal. The defense also held Indiana to field goal attempts on the other 2 red zone trips (though the refs may have helped a little...both calls were very close). Indiana's kicker only converted on one of those field goals.
Stars of the Game:
Offense - Brandon Wegher
Wegher was probably the coaches 4th choice (maybe even 5th) at running back coming into the season. But with a slew of injuries he came out as a starter for the first time in his short career and had a very good day. He ran the ball 25 times for 118 yards. He had 3 touchdowns, including 2 in the 4th quarter that helped seal the win. He also had 1 catch for 8 yards.
Offense Honorable Mention - DJK
Though McNutt had more receiving yards and one more reception, I thought DJK was the best receiver in the game. He made a great cut on his long touchdown catch running through 3 or 4 defenders in route to the endzone. He also consistently broke free from his defender finding space in the defense. On 2 of Stanzi's interceptions, DJK was wide open, but the ball was just under-thrown (or caught up in the wind). He finished the day with 3 catches for 117 yards. vHe also did a nice job on kickoff returns averaging 27 yards per return.
Defense - Shaun Prater
Prater missed the first two games of the year under suspension. He also missed some time with a minor injury. When he has played he has been very good, but has been overshadowed by Amari Spievey. This week though, he had a chance to shine as Indiana wasvthrowing in his direction all day long (I would avoid Spievey's side too). And, for the most part he handled it well. He was 3rd on the team with 8 tackles (7 solo) and had an interception and 3 pass break ups. That's not to say he had a perfect game...Indiana's 2nd TD came against Prater in coverage (it was actually double coverage, but the pass and catch were very well executed). He also gave up a 45 yard pass where he was called for pass interference (great catch though by Belcher). Still, he had a very good game yesterday.
Keys of the Game:
The Red Zone
I wrote before the game that red zone play would bea key in the game and it definitely was. Indiana drove into the red zone 6 times. In the first half they came away with 3 TDs and a 21-7 lead. In the second half, however, their 3 red zone trips resulted in a missed field goal, an interception returned for a TD, and a made field goal.
Iowa was only in the red zone twice against Indiana's 11th-best-in-the-country red zone defense. The Hawkeyes came away both times with Brandon Wegher TD runs.
The Big Play
Coming into the game I was worried that the big plays would go in Indiana's favor. The Hawkeye defense and coverage teams did an excellent job holding the Hoosiers in check. Ray Fisher, who averaged almost 40 yards per kick return had just one return for 25 yards. Also, Darrius Willis, who has broken off several long TD runs this year, was held to 54 yards on 21 carries. His long of the day was just 11 yards. The defense really only gave up one big play, the 45 pass to Belcher. The good news, though, is that after the long pass, the defense held and the drive ended with a missed field goal.
Iowa obviously had some huge plays yesterday when coming back from behind. It started with the quintuple-ricocheted interception by Sash that he ran back for a TD. Then came the 92-yard McNutt touchdown and the 66-yard DJK touchdown.
Final Thought of the Morning:
This season has been a lot of fun and great to blog about. Iowa hasn't lost since I started this blog (knock on wood). Now there are only 3 more weeks to go...and that game at Ohio State in a couple of weeks looks like it might be one of the biggest games in Hawkeye history as there will be a lot on the line.
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